Blog
Weekend Update & Market Outlook 8/22/2025

Weekend Update & Market Outlook 8/22/2025

August 24, 2025

Market Action For Last Week

  • SPY: $643.44 → $645.31 | +1.87 pts (+0.29%).  
  • QQQ: $577.34 → $571.97 | –5.37 pts (–0.93%).  
  • IWM: $227.13 → $234.83 | +7.70 pts (+3.39%).  

Upcoming Major Economic Reports and Potential Market Moving Events

All times ET; U.S. releases only.

Mon 8/25

  • New Home Sales (Jul)10:00 am.  
  • Fed speakers: Dallas Fed’s Logan; NY Fed’s Williams.  

Tue 8/26

  • Durable Goods Orders (Jul)8:30 am.  
  • S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Jun)9:00 am.  
  • Conference Board Consumer Confidence (Aug)10:00 am.  

Thu 8/28

  • GDP Q2 2025 – Second Estimate & Corporate Profits (Prelim.)8:30 am.  
  • Pending Home Sales (Jul)10:00 am (watchlist item).  

Fri 8/29

  • Personal Income & Outlays (Jul) incl. PCE & Core PCE8:30 am.  
  • Advance International Trade in Goods, Retail & Wholesale Inventories (Jul)8:30 am.  
  • Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Aug, final)10:00 am.  

Upcoming Major Stock Earnings Reports

Wed 8/27

  • NVIDIA (NVDA)After Market (webcast 2:00 pm PT / 5:00 pm ET).  
  • HP Inc. (HPQ)After Market (call 4:30 pm ET).  
  • Urban Outfitters (URBN)After Market (call 5:00 pm ET).  

Thu 8/28

  • Best Buy (BBY)Before Market Open.  
  • Bath & Body Works (BBWI)Before Market Open (call 8:30 am ET).  

30-Day Outlook: Neutral. SPY eked out a small weekly gain while QQQ slipped and small caps (IWM) outperformed—classic rotation under the surface. With NVDA earnings mid-week and PCE inflation Friday likely to steer Fed-cut odds, risk is two-sided near term. Technically, SPY holding ~640 keeps bulls in control, but Nasdaq leadership has softened; breadth improvement from small caps is constructive but needs follow-through. Net-net: I’m looking for choppy, range-bound action with tactical opportunities into the late-August data and event cluster.