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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 5/4/2025

Weekend Update & Market Outlook 5/4/2025

May 2, 2025

Market Action For Last Week

SPY (S&P 500 ETF)

  • Last Friday's Closing Price (April 18, 2025): $521.16
  • This Friday's Closing Price (April 25, 2025): $550.64
  • Point Gain/Loss: +$29.48
  • Percent Gain/Loss: +5.66%

QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF)

  • Last Friday's Closing Price (April 18, 2025): $438.23
  • This Friday's Closing Price (April 25, 2025): $472.56
  • Point Gain/Loss: +$34.33
  • Percent Gain/Loss: +7.83%

IWM (Russell 2000 ETF)

  • Last Friday's Closing Price (April 18, 2025): $185.00
  • This Friday's Closing Price (April 25, 2025): $194.12
  • Point Gain/Loss: +$9.12
  • Percent Gain/Loss: +4.93%

Upcoming Major Economic Reports and Potential Market Moving Events

Monday, May 5

  • S&P Final U.S. Services PMI for April at 9:45 am
  • ISM Services PMI for April at 10 am

Tuesday, May 6

  • U.S. Trade Balance for March at 8:30 am

Wednesday, May 7

  • Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting: Conclusion of the two-day meeting with expected federal funds target range unchanged at 4.25% to 4.50%.

Thursday, May 8

  • Bank of England Interest Rate Decision

Friday, May 9

  • Canadian Labor Market Data

Upcoming Major Stock Earnings Reports

Monday, May 5

  • Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
  • Palantir Technologies (PLTR) - Post Market
  • Walt Disney (DIS) - Post Market
  • Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) - Post Market

Tuesday, May 6

  • Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) - Post Market
  • Arista Networks (ANET) - Post Market

Wednesday, May 7

  • AppLovin (APP) - Post Market

Thursday, May 8

  • Shopify (SHOP) - Post Market
  • ConocoPhillips (COP) - Before Market Open
  • MercadoLibre (MELI) - Post Market

Market Outlook

For the next 30 days, I am neutral on the market. The resilience in the tech sector, particularly with strong earnings from major players like Microsoft and Meta, suggests potential growth. However, risks such as trade war concerns, potential economic slowdown, and high market valuations could lead to corrections. The upcoming US jobs report and earnings announcements from major companies will be critical in shaping market sentiment. Diversification and a focus on sector-specific opportunities, especially in AI and innovation, are advisable strategies.